trade
How will free-trade fare under the Trump administration? Trade thoughts and opinion about negotiations, embargo, what works and what doesn't..
IS Russia Winning Ukraine War?
For much of the conflict, Europe framed Ukraine’s struggle as a clear case of resistance against Russian aggression. The narrative was straightforward: Ukraine was defending sovereignty, and Europe stood firmly behind it. However, by 2026, the situation has evolved into something far more complex. The war is no longer just about Ukraine—it has become a broader strategic test for Europe itself. At the center of this test lies what analysts are calling the “Trump Conundrum.”
By Ibrahim Shah about 6 hours ago in The Swamp
The Strait of Hormuz
Introduction The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important maritime passages in the world. It connects the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and eventually the Arabian Sea. Because it is the main route for oil exports from the Gulf region, millions of barrels of oil pass through it every day. This makes the strait a vital artery for global energy supplies and international trade.
By shaoor afridiabout 15 hours ago in The Swamp
The decline of the West and the rise of ‘the Rest’ will lead to a new world order
As Donald Trump rampages through the global economic system with his tariff war and throws the United States’ commitment to NATO into serious doubt, fears – even panic – are mounting about the collapse of world order. Part of the anxiety stems from how suddenly these changes appear to have unfolded. In the aftermath of the 2008 global economic crisis, what was often described as the US-led liberal international order seemed alive and well, though not without challenges.
By Ibrahim Shah 2 days ago in The Swamp
Key Factors Behind the U.S.–Iran Tensions: The Role of Oil and Geopolitics
The relationship between the United States and Iran has been tense for decades, shaped by political rivalry, economic sanctions, and regional power struggles. In recent years, these tensions have intensified, raising fears of military conflict and global instability. While oil is often seen as the main reason behind the rivalry, the reality is more complex. The conflict involves a combination of geopolitical competition, energy security, and strategic interests in the Middle East.
By shaoor afridi5 days ago in The Swamp
THE FREE PRESS. Content Warning.
The $35 Sentence: How Predatory Hospice Schemes Silence Seniors By Vicki Lawana Trusselli For years, I worked in the film and music industries in LA and Austin—I know a script when I see one. But the script being handed to seniors in Riverside and other cities today is not just fiction; it is federal fraud.
By Vicki Lawana Trusselli 7 days ago in The Swamp
The next generation of dairy-free cheese may be made from rice.
Cheese is often the final "hard thing" to give up. Both vegans and others who wish to stay away from dairy because it bothers them miss it. The issue of allergies comes next. A lot of non-dairy cheeses contain gluten-based ingredients, and many rely on nuts. The "safe" options might quickly disappear if you have a gluten, dairy, or nut allergy.
By Francis Dami9 days ago in The Swamp
Doing the Wash
Congress. An entity of our government that is supposed to be working for us, is just a money laundering criminal endeavor. If you aren't paying attention to what our government does, then you are part of the problem.Money laundering is a crime, and we are funding it.
By Alexandra Grant10 days ago in The Swamp
U.S. strategic competition with China.
This war Stop being a medley story the moment the first oil tanker changed course in the Persian Gulf. What I mean is, Strait of Hormuz is the most important energy bottleneck on earth. Everybody knows it is the most important energy bottleneck on earth. And if it was the threat from Iran last time, this time Iran has partially done it. It is so narrow, IRGC has a lot of control over it. Just like in the Strait of Malacca, army/navy has control over it. Similarly, here the Iranians have control over it. And recently, China, Russia, and Iran have already conducted war games. So it is this narrow, 33 kilometers wide, you are hearing about it everywhere, everybody is talking about it. It is the width of a large city. So in this narrow passage, which holds 20% of the world's oil, one fifth of the world's oil and gas goes through, it is around 17 million barrels per day. There is no realistic alternative route except the Strait of Hormuz. If we close this passage, its consequences will not stop at any one border. Europe will pay, Japan will pay, India, South Korea, China, everybody pays the price. So a theory is floating around, which backs my argument that China is the target. It is that in Washington circles, there is a discussion going on, let's be honest, if this happens, what do we have to do? The hawkish people there say that this disruption should be allowed because it does not impact them as much as it impacts those countries, which I have just mentioned. So let's take this opportunity that the slowdown of China's energy supply can be slowed down. Trap Beijing in such an expensive moment as long as this congestion remains in the Strait of Hormuz, it remains closed, partially or completely. Iran keeps Beijing hit very badly from an energy security point of view. So the containment policy of China that is already going on is an added bonus. So imagine, on one hand, you are doing everything with technology and trade, imposing tariffs, treating them in the South China Sea, imagine all this. And from the other side, almost 90% of the oil and gas supplies go to China. If it is blocked for a few days, how badly it will hit China. So imagine, while the world is suffering, they are only having strategic designs in their minds.
By Ibrahim Shah 10 days ago in The Swamp
What resources does Venezuela have — apart from the world’s most oil?
Largest known oil reserves Venezuela has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, estimated at 303 billion barrels as of 2023, more than five times the amount the United States has, which is 55.25 billion barrels.
By Ibrahim Shah 20 days ago in The Swamp
New World Order In 2026
The phrase “New World Order” has long stirred curiosity, debate, and sometimes fear. For some, it represents a hopeful vision of global cooperation in an increasingly interconnected world. For others, it signals concerns about centralized power, loss of national sovereignty, or hidden political agendas. In reality, the concept is complex and has evolved over time, shaped by historical events, geopolitical shifts, economic systems, and technological revolutions.
By Ibrahim Shah 23 days ago in The Swamp
The Protection-of-Innocence Reciprocity Doctrine. AI-Generated.
Core Moral Premise The highest duty of any legitimate social order is the protection of innocent life. Innocent life has absolute moral primacy. Any system that systematically insulates predators, tolerates predatory asymmetry, rewards hypocrisy, or allows aggressors to retain insulation has inverted its purpose and forfeited legitimacy. Truth, justice, reciprocity, humility, mercy, forgiveness, and vertical accountability are structural necessities rather than optional virtues. Vertical accountability means recognition of and submission to a moral law higher than oneself. Authority must flow toward those who most consistently demonstrate sustained competence in moral and epistemic discipline. This competence is shown through observable conduct and trajectory over time, not through doctrinal label, tribal identity, credential alone, or self-profession.
By Peter Thwing - Host of the FST Podcast25 days ago in The Swamp
